The Grand National: a review of factors associated with non-completion and horse-falls, 1990 to 2012

J.M. Williams, David Marlin, N. Langley, T. Parkin, H. Randle

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article

    2 Citations (Scopus)


    The Grand National (GN) attracts high profile press and subsequent public attention. This study aimed to establish if factors influential to non-completion, horse-falls and specific fence risk in the GN supported the measures implemented by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) to improve equine welfare in the GN. Horse, jockey, trainer and race related factors associated with non-completion, horse-falls and horse-falls at specific fences of the GN were collated over a 22 year period from 1990 to 2012. Descriptive analysis calculated non-completion rates per year, according to age and reason for non-completion. The distribution of fallers during the race in relation to fence number, design and key feature fences were also determined. Univariable analysis informed multivariable model building to identify factors associated with non-completion (n=840) and horse-falls (n=514) in the GN. Two final logistic regression models were refined through a backward stepwise process with variables retained if likeliho...
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)131-146
    Number of pages16
    JournalComparative Exercise Physiology
    Issue number3-4
    Publication statusPublished - Jan 2013



    • National Hunt
    • falls
    • racing
    • steeplechasing
    • welfare

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