The Grand National: a review of factors associated with non-completion and horse-falls, 1990 to 2012

J.M. Williams, David Marlin, N. Langley, T. Parkin, H. Randle

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article

    2 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    The Grand National (GN) attracts high profile press and subsequent public attention. This study aimed to establish if factors influential to non-completion, horse-falls and specific fence risk in the GN supported the measures implemented by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) to improve equine welfare in the GN. Horse, jockey, trainer and race related factors associated with non-completion, horse-falls and horse-falls at specific fences of the GN were collated over a 22 year period from 1990 to 2012. Descriptive analysis calculated non-completion rates per year, according to age and reason for non-completion. The distribution of fallers during the race in relation to fence number, design and key feature fences were also determined. Univariable analysis informed multivariable model building to identify factors associated with non-completion (n=840) and horse-falls (n=514) in the GN. Two final logistic regression models were refined through a backward stepwise process with variables retained if likeliho...
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)131-146
    Number of pages16
    JournalComparative Exercise Physiology
    Volume9
    Issue number3-4
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Jan 2013

    Fingerprint

    Fences
    Horses
    fences
    horses
    Race Relations
    Logistic Models
    Logistics

    Keywords

    • National Hunt
    • falls
    • racing
    • steeplechasing
    • welfare

    Cite this

    Williams, J.M. ; Marlin, David ; Langley, N. ; Parkin, T. ; Randle, H. / The Grand National: a review of factors associated with non-completion and horse-falls, 1990 to 2012. In: Comparative Exercise Physiology. 2013 ; Vol. 9, No. 3-4. pp. 131-146.
    @article{bb989c27dd7a4dc38e8cd15b7fe761aa,
    title = "The Grand National: a review of factors associated with non-completion and horse-falls, 1990 to 2012",
    abstract = "The Grand National (GN) attracts high profile press and subsequent public attention. This study aimed to establish if factors influential to non-completion, horse-falls and specific fence risk in the GN supported the measures implemented by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) to improve equine welfare in the GN. Horse, jockey, trainer and race related factors associated with non-completion, horse-falls and horse-falls at specific fences of the GN were collated over a 22 year period from 1990 to 2012. Descriptive analysis calculated non-completion rates per year, according to age and reason for non-completion. The distribution of fallers during the race in relation to fence number, design and key feature fences were also determined. Univariable analysis informed multivariable model building to identify factors associated with non-completion (n=840) and horse-falls (n=514) in the GN. Two final logistic regression models were refined through a backward stepwise process with variables retained if likeliho...",
    keywords = "National Hunt, falls, racing, steeplechasing, welfare",
    author = "J.M. Williams and David Marlin and N. Langley and T. Parkin and H. Randle",
    year = "2013",
    month = "1",
    doi = "10.3920/CEP13013",
    language = "English",
    volume = "9",
    pages = "131--146",
    journal = "Comparative Exercise Physiology",
    issn = "1755-2540",
    publisher = "Wageningen Academic Publishers",
    number = "3-4",

    }

    The Grand National: a review of factors associated with non-completion and horse-falls, 1990 to 2012. / Williams, J.M.; Marlin, David; Langley, N.; Parkin, T.; Randle, H.

    In: Comparative Exercise Physiology, Vol. 9, No. 3-4, 01.2013, p. 131-146.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article

    TY - JOUR

    T1 - The Grand National: a review of factors associated with non-completion and horse-falls, 1990 to 2012

    AU - Williams, J.M.

    AU - Marlin, David

    AU - Langley, N.

    AU - Parkin, T.

    AU - Randle, H.

    PY - 2013/1

    Y1 - 2013/1

    N2 - The Grand National (GN) attracts high profile press and subsequent public attention. This study aimed to establish if factors influential to non-completion, horse-falls and specific fence risk in the GN supported the measures implemented by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) to improve equine welfare in the GN. Horse, jockey, trainer and race related factors associated with non-completion, horse-falls and horse-falls at specific fences of the GN were collated over a 22 year period from 1990 to 2012. Descriptive analysis calculated non-completion rates per year, according to age and reason for non-completion. The distribution of fallers during the race in relation to fence number, design and key feature fences were also determined. Univariable analysis informed multivariable model building to identify factors associated with non-completion (n=840) and horse-falls (n=514) in the GN. Two final logistic regression models were refined through a backward stepwise process with variables retained if likeliho...

    AB - The Grand National (GN) attracts high profile press and subsequent public attention. This study aimed to establish if factors influential to non-completion, horse-falls and specific fence risk in the GN supported the measures implemented by the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) to improve equine welfare in the GN. Horse, jockey, trainer and race related factors associated with non-completion, horse-falls and horse-falls at specific fences of the GN were collated over a 22 year period from 1990 to 2012. Descriptive analysis calculated non-completion rates per year, according to age and reason for non-completion. The distribution of fallers during the race in relation to fence number, design and key feature fences were also determined. Univariable analysis informed multivariable model building to identify factors associated with non-completion (n=840) and horse-falls (n=514) in the GN. Two final logistic regression models were refined through a backward stepwise process with variables retained if likeliho...

    KW - National Hunt

    KW - falls

    KW - racing

    KW - steeplechasing

    KW - welfare

    U2 - 10.3920/CEP13013

    DO - 10.3920/CEP13013

    M3 - Journal Article

    VL - 9

    SP - 131

    EP - 146

    JO - Comparative Exercise Physiology

    JF - Comparative Exercise Physiology

    SN - 1755-2540

    IS - 3-4

    ER -